Pitch Radar

Le Mans

Ligue 1 · France · season 2026/27 · 4 matches · 0W 3D 1L
Place14 of 18
Points3
xPTS4.0
Δ points − xPTS−1.0
Scored / xG7 / 6.8
Conceded / xGA8 / 9.4

What the numbers say

Points. 3 points from 4.0 xPTS (−1.0). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 13th in the league, but 14th in the table. Points match the quality of play.

Attack. 1.71 xG per match — 6th of 18 (league average 1.65): one of the most dangerous attacks in the league. Scored 7 goals from 6.8 xG — finishing is on par.

Defence. 2.35 xGA per match — 17th of 18 for solidity (league average 1.65). Conceded 8 goals from 9.4 xGA — exactly in line with the chances allowed.

Playing to its level. Points (3) are close to the quality of play (4.0 xPTS).

4 matches played. Over this distance the metrics already show a trend, but randomness is still large — treat this as an early signal, not a verdict.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

024 1 4 round 1: 2:2, Points 1, xPTS 0.2round 2: 2:3, Points 1, xPTS 1.1round 3: 1:1, Points 2, xPTS 2.4round 4: 2:2, Points 3, xPTS 4.0
Points 3 xPTS 4.0 performance is 1.0 ahead of points

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 0.75 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.13. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.6 points. Expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment.

OpponentVenueDateExpected points
Lorienthome2026-09-191.39
Paris Saint-Germainaway2026-10-100.51
Toulousehome2026-10-171.03
Auxerreaway2026-10-241.39
Troyesaway2026-10-311.32

Other clubs of the league

Full Ligue 1 xPTS table →