Le Mans

Next match

Marseille · away, 22 Nov 2026
Win 23% · draw 18% · defeat 59%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A tough run.

What the numbers say

Points. 8 points from 9.7 xPTS (−1.7). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 17th in the league, but 15th in the table. Points match the quality of play. Inside that balance finishing falls short (−1.9 vs xG), but fewer goals conceded than expected (−1.6 vs xGA) — one cancels the other.

Attack. 1.39 xG per match — 12th of 18 (league average 1.59): an average attack for this league. Scored 12 goals from 13.9 xG — 13% fewer than expected. A small finishing shortfall, still within the usual spread.

Defence. 2.06 xGA per match — 17th of 18 for solidity (league average 1.59): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 19 goals from 20.6 xGA — 8% fewer than expected. The gap is small, still within the usual spread.

Playing to its level. Points (8) are close to the quality of play (9.7 xPTS).

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 0.80 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 0.89. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 4.5 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Le Mans and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full Ligue 1 xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league