Brest

Next match

Strasbourg · away, 21 Nov 2026
Win 57% · draw 22% · defeat 21%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.

What the numbers say

Points. 15 points from 18.8 xPTS (−3.8). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 3rd in the league, but 9th in the table. Source of the shortfall: missed chances (−2.9 goals vs xG).

Attack. 2.09 xG per match — 3rd of 18 (league average 1.59): one of the most dangerous attacks in the league. Scored 18 goals from 20.9 xG — 14% fewer than expected. A small finishing shortfall, still within the usual spread.

Defence. 1.20 xGA per match — 4th of 18 for solidity (league average 1.59): allows few chances near its own goal. Conceded 12 goals from 12.0 xGA — exactly in line with the chances allowed. What they allow is what they concede.

Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.38 points per match: expected pace 1.9 points per match vs the current 1.5.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.50 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.94. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 9.7 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Brest and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full Ligue 1 xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league