Lille — Paris Saint-Germain 2:2

Lille

2:2

Paris Saint-Germain

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Paris Saint-Germain created more (1.78 xG against 1.16) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Lille	2	1.16	+0.8	0.98
Paris Saint-Germain	2	1.78	+0.2	1.79

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
20'	Hákon Haraldsson	Lille	0.07	Olivier Giroud
83'	Dilane Bakwa	Lille	0.04	Olivier Giroud
90'	Vitinha	Paris Saint-Germain	0.03	Mika Godts
94'	Marquinhos	Paris Saint-Germain	0.35	Vitinha

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
87'	Warren Zaïre-Emery	Paris Saint-Germain	0.58	off target
70'	Olivier Giroud	Lille	0.44	off target, header
6'	Olivier Giroud	Lille	0.36	saved

Shots: Lille 9, Paris Saint-Germain 18; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Lille 0.69, Paris Saint-Germain 0.56: about even. In the second half xG was Lille 0.48, Paris Saint-Germain 1.24: a small edge for Paris Saint-Germain.

How it fits the season

Lille: +7.3 for the season (2 in the table). Paris Saint-Germain: +2.9 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →