Lille — Troyes 2:0

Lille

2:0

Troyes

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Lille was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Lille	2	2.05	−0.0	2.51
Troyes	0	0.35	−0.3	0.33

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
17'	Tiago Santos	Lille	0.03	Dilane Bakwa
92'	Ethan Mbappé	Lille	0.40	Maurits Kjærgaard

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
92'	Ethan Mbappé	Lille	0.40	goal
89'	Maurits Kjærgaard	Lille	0.39	saved
90'	Ethan Mbappé	Lille	0.35	saved

Shots: Lille 13, Troyes 8; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Lille 0.55, Troyes 0.04: a small edge for Lille. In the second half xG was Lille 1.50, Troyes 0.32: a clear edge for Lille. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.

How it fits the season

Lille: +7.3 for the season (2 in the table). Troyes: −2.8 (17). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Le Mans — Lens 2:2Brest — Paris Saint-Germain 0:1

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →