Le Mans — Lens 2:2

Le Mans

2:2

Lens

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.28.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Le Mans	2	2.16	−0.2	1.56
Lens	2	1.88	+0.1	1.24

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
31'	Adil Bourabaa	Le Mans	0.98
43'	Lucas Calodat	Le Mans	0.37	Adil Bourabaa
46'	Abdallah Sima	Lens	0.46
50'	Franjo Ivanovic	Lens	0.33	Ruben Aguilar

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
31'	Adil Bourabaa	Le Mans	0.98	goal, header
46'	Abdallah Sima	Lens	0.46	goal, header
43'	Lucas Calodat	Le Mans	0.37	goal

Shots: Le Mans 12, Lens 16; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Le Mans 2.80, Lens 0.40: a big edge for Le Mans. In the second half xG was Le Mans 0.21, Lens 1.46: a clear edge for Lens. The edge in chances passed from Le Mans to Lens.

How it fits the season

Le Mans: −1.7 for the season (15 in the table). Lens: −1.9 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Lille — Troyes 2:0Brest — Paris Saint-Germain 0:1

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →