Marseille — Strasbourg 4:0
Marseille
StrasbourgThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Who deserved it
The score matched the game: Marseille was the better side by chances too.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 4 | 2.35 | +1.6 | 2.70 |
| Strasbourg | 0 | 0.19 | −0.2 | 0.18 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45' | Amine Gouiri | Marseille | 0.55 | Angel Gomes |
| 67' | Amine Gouiri (penalty) | Marseille | 0.76 | |
| 88' | Keyliane Abdallah | Marseille | 0.06 | |
| 95' | Pierre-Emile Højbjerg | Marseille | 0.03 |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45' | Amine Gouiri | Marseille | 0.55 | goal |
| 18' | Angel Gomes | Marseille | 0.49 | saved |
| 3' | Angel Gomes | Marseille | 0.11 | blocked |
Shots: Marseille 14, Strasbourg 5; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 0.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Marseille 1.48, Strasbourg 0.13: a clear edge for Marseille. In the second half xG was Marseille 0.88, Strasbourg 0.06: a clear edge for Marseille. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Marseille scored 4 from 2.35 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
How it fits the season
Marseille: +5.6 for the season (4 in the table). Strasbourg: −0.3 (13). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.