The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Marseille was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 4 | 2.35 | +1.6 | 2.70 |
| Strasbourg | 0 | 0.19 | −0.2 | 0.18 |
Marseille: −2.3 for the season (17 in the table). Strasbourg: +2.4 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.