Strasbourg

Next match

Brest · at home, 21 Nov 2026
Win 21% · draw 22% · defeat 57%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A tough run.

What the numbers say

Points. 10 points from 10.3 xPTS (−0.3). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 15th in the league, but 13th in the table. Points match the quality of play. Inside that balance more goals conceded than expected (+5.4 vs xGA), but finishing runs above expectation (+4.9 vs xG) — one cancels the other.

Attack. 1.31 xG per match — 14th of 18 (league average 1.59): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 18 goals from 13.1 xG — 37% more than expected — the best finishing in the league. Finishing is clearly above par — some of these goals will probably stop going in.

Defence. 1.66 xGA per match — 11th of 18 for solidity (league average 1.59): mid-table for chances allowed. Conceded 22 goals from 16.6 xGA — 33% more than expected — the biggest overshoot of conceded goals in the league. Opponents are finishing better than the quality of their chances allows.

Playing to its level. Points (10) are close to the quality of play (10.3 xPTS).

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.00 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.13. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.6 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Strasbourg and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full Ligue 1 xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league