Pitch Radar

Paris Saint-Germain — Monaco 1:2

Paris Saint-Germain
1:2
Monaco
Ligue 1 · 4 Sep 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score1:2
Home xG2.52Paris Saint-Germain
Away xG0.60Monaco
Expected points2.51 : 0.34

Who deserved it

Monaco won against the run of chances: Paris Saint-Germain created more (2.52 xG against 0.60).

The numbers

TeamGoalsxGGoals − xGExpected points
Paris Saint-Germain12.52−1.52.51
Monaco20.60+1.40.34

Goals

MinuteGoalTeamShot xGAssist
30'MarquinhosParis Saint-Germain0.87Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
57'Flávio NazinhoMonaco0.45Jordan Teze
71'Stanis Idumbo MuzamboMonaco0.08Aleksandr Golovin

Key chances

MinutePlayerTeamxGOutcome
30'MarquinhosParis Saint-Germain0.87goal, from a corner
54'Maghnes AklioucheParis Saint-Germain0.50saved, from a set piece
57'Flávio NazinhoMonaco0.45goal, header

Shots: Paris Saint-Germain 23, Monaco 4; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Paris Saint-Germain 1.60, Monaco 0.05: a big edge for Paris Saint-Germain. In the second half xG was Paris Saint-Germain 0.94, Monaco 0.55: a small edge for Paris Saint-Germain. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Paris Saint-Germain scored 1 from 2.52 xG: fewer than they created. Monaco scored 2 from 0.60 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

How it fits the season

Paris Saint-Germain: +2.9 for the season (1 in the table). Monaco: +4.3 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →