The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Monaco won against the run of chances: Paris Saint-Germain created more (2.52 xG against 0.60).
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 2.52 | −1.5 | 2.52 |
| Monaco | 2 | 0.60 | +1.4 | 0.34 |
Paris Saint-Germain: −1.7 for the season (6 in the table). Monaco: +6.2 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.