Rennes — Marseille 1:0

Rennes

1:0

Marseille

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Rennes was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Rennes	1	2.32	−1.3	1.99
Marseille	0	1.31	−1.3	0.81

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
52'	Adrien Thomasson	Rennes	0.56

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
52'	Adrien Thomasson	Rennes	0.56	goal
71'	Adrien Thomasson	Rennes	0.47	hit the woodwork
57'	Pierre-Emile Højbjerg	Marseille	0.41	saved

Shots: Rennes 20, Marseille 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Rennes 0.57, Marseille 0.27: about even. In the second half xG was Rennes 1.75, Marseille 1.04: a small edge for Rennes. Rennes scored 1 from 2.32 xG: fewer than they created. Marseille scored 0 from 1.31 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Rennes: −0.3 for the season (8 in the table). Marseille: +5.6 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →