Rennes

Next match

Lorient · away, 22 Nov 2026
Win 28% · draw 24% · defeat 48%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A tough run.

What the numbers say

Points. 16 points from 16.3 xPTS (−0.3). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 5th in the league, but 8th in the table. Points match the quality of play. On top of that, finishing falls short (−1.6 vs xG) and more goals conceded than expected (+1.1 vs xGA).

Attack. 2.26 xG per match — 2nd of 18 (league average 1.59): one of the most dangerous attacks in the league. Scored 21 goals from 22.6 xG — 7% fewer than expected. A small finishing shortfall, still within the usual spread.

Defence. 1.99 xGA per match — 13th of 18 for solidity (league average 1.59): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 21 goals from 19.9 xGA — 6% more than expected. The gap is small and usually closes over a season.

Playing to its level. Points (16) are close to the quality of play (16.3 xPTS).

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.60 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.36. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 6.8 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Rennes and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full Ligue 1 xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league