Troyes — Strasbourg 2:6

Troyes

2:6

Strasbourg

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Strasbourg was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Troyes	2	2.65	−0.6	1.03
Strasbourg	6	3.52	+2.5	1.82

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
8'	Antoine Mille	Troyes	0.33	Anis Ouzenadji
39'	Jacobo Ortega	Strasbourg	0.53	Gessime Yassine
41'	Diogo Sousa	Strasbourg	0.56
56'	Giovanni Reyna	Strasbourg	0.10	Jacobo Ortega
84'	Samuel Amo-Ameyaw	Strasbourg	0.09	Dário Essugo
87'	Samuel Amo-Ameyaw	Strasbourg	0.10
91'	Conrad Harder	Strasbourg	0.24	Diogo Sousa
94'	Jeremy Le Douaron	Troyes	0.72	Kandet Diawara

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
94'	Jeremy Le Douaron	Troyes	0.72	goal
41'	Diogo Sousa	Strasbourg	0.56	goal
66'	Dário Essugo	Strasbourg	0.56	blocked

Shots: Troyes 27, Strasbourg 19; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 5.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Troyes 1.13, Strasbourg 2.29: a clear edge for Strasbourg. In the second half xG was Troyes 1.52, Strasbourg 1.58: about even. Strasbourg scored 6 from 3.52 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Troyes: −2.8 for the season (17 in the table). Strasbourg: −0.3 (13). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Angers — Rennes 1:2Marseille — Paris FC 2:3

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →