The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Strasbourg was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes | 2 | 2.65 | −0.6 | 1.03 |
| Strasbourg | 6 | 3.52 | +2.5 | 1.82 |
Troyes: +0.1 for the season (16 in the table). Strasbourg: +2.4 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.