Krasnodar — Akron Tolyatti 1:1
Krasnodar1:1
Akron TolyattiThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score1:1
Home xG0.87Krasnodar
Away xG0.38Akron Tolyatti
Expected points1.76 : 0.85
Who deserved it
A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.49.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krasnodar | 1 | 0.87 | +0.1 | 1.76 |
| Akron Tolyatti | 1 | 0.38 | +0.6 | 0.85 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12' | Konstantin Maradishvili | Akron Tolyatti | 0.08 | Vyacheslav Bardybakhin |
| 86' | Juan Manuel Boselli | Krasnodar | 0.06 |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30' | Gilson Benchimol | Akron Tolyatti | 0.10 | saved |
| 12' | Konstantin Maradishvili | Akron Tolyatti | 0.08 | goal |
| 68' | Jubal | Krasnodar | 0.08 | saved, header, from a corner |
Shots: Krasnodar 20, Akron Tolyatti 8; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 0.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Krasnodar 0.24, Akron Tolyatti 0.27: about even. In the second half xG was Krasnodar 0.65, Akron Tolyatti 0.11: a small edge for Krasnodar.
How it fits the season
Krasnodar: +6.6 for the season (4 in the table). Akron Tolyatti: −2.6 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.
Akhmat Grozny — 
Dynamo Makhachkala 3:2
Spartak Moscow — 
Rostov 3:0