The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.49.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krasnodar | 1 | 0.87 | +0.1 | 1.77 |
| Akron Tolyatti | 1 | 0.38 | +0.6 | 0.84 |
Krasnodar: +7.4 for the season (1 in the table). Akron Tolyatti: −1.7 (13). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.