Akhmat Grozny — Dynamo Makhachkala 3:2

Akhmat Grozny

3:2

Dynamo Makhachkala

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Akhmat Grozny was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Akhmat Grozny	3	1.05	+1.9	1.75
Dynamo Makhachkala	2	0.56	+1.4	0.92

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
47'	Gamid Agalarov	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.27	Daniil Lesovoy
57'	Kalidou Sidibe	Akhmat Grozny	0.48	Maksim Samorodov
63'	Temirkan Sundukov	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.07
65'	Andrés Alarcón (own goal)	Akhmat Grozny	—
85'	Manuel Keliano	Akhmat Grozny	0.05	Arsen Adamov

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
57'	Kalidou Sidibe	Akhmat Grozny	0.48	goal, header, from a corner
47'	Gamid Agalarov	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.27	goal
78'	Egor Smelov	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.10	saved

Shots: Akhmat Grozny 15, Dynamo Makhachkala 6; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Akhmat Grozny 0.28, Dynamo Makhachkala 0.01: about even. In the second half xG was Akhmat Grozny 0.76, Dynamo Makhachkala 0.55: about even. Akhmat Grozny scored 3 from 1.05 xG: well above what they created. Dynamo Makhachkala scored 2 from 0.56 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Akhmat Grozny: −4.1 for the season (12 in the table). Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.6 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Spartak Moscow — Rostov 3:0Krasnodar — Akron Tolyatti 1:1

All RPL matches with xG →