The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Akhmat Grozny was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1.05 | +1.9 | 1.74 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 0.56 | +1.4 | 0.92 |
Akhmat Grozny: −1.5 for the season (10 in the table). Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.0 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.