Points. 8 points from 9.7 xPTS (−1.7). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 12th in the league, but 13th in the table. Points match the quality of play.
Attack. 0.97 xG per match — 13th of 16 (league average 1.21): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 11 goals from 8.7 xG (+2.3): the ball is going in more often than such chances usually allow. Finishing like this rarely lasts.
Defence. 1.34 xGA per match — 13th of 16 for solidity (league average 1.21). Conceded 18 goals from 12.0 xGA — 6.0 more than expected: opponents are scoring almost everything and the goalkeeper is not helping. But plenty of chances are allowed too — it is not just bad luck.
Playing to its level. Points (8) are close to the quality of play (9.7 xPTS).
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 0.89 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 0.77. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 3.9 points. Expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rostov | away | 2026-10-10 | 1.23 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | away | 2026-10-17 | 0.74 |
| Dynamo Moscow | home | 2026-10-24 | 0.94 |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | away | 2026-10-31 | 0.56 |
| Spartak Moscow | away | 2026-11-07 | 0.39 |