The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
No clear favourite: 41% home, 26% draw, 33% away. Attack against defence: level, 1.23 and 1.34 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Krasnodar have taken 7.4 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krasnodar | 1 | 9 | 21 | 13.6 | +7.4 | 1.28 | 1.03 |
| CSKA Moscow | 4 | 9 | 19 | 15.9 | +3.1 | 1.65 | 1.19 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.