The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Akhmat Grozny are favourites: 72% to win against 10%. Attack against defence: Akhmat Grozny should create more, 1.62 expected goals a match against 0.96.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmat Grozny | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11.5 | −1.5 | 1.05 | 1.16 |
| Rodina Moscow | 15 | 9 | 5 | 5.2 | −0.1 | 0.77 | 2.20 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.