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Dynamo Makhachkala

RPL · Russia · season 2026/27 · 14 matches · 5W 1D 8L
Place11 of 16
Points16
xPTS18.6
Δ points − xPTS−2.6
Scored / xG17 / 17.6
Conceded / xGA26 / 19.9

Next match

Dynamo Makhachkala
VS
Spartak Moscow

Spartak Moscow · at home, 22 Nov 2026
Win 20% · draw 22% · defeat 58%

The match in numbers →

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.

Spartak Moscow 20%Lokomotiv Moscow 41%Krylia Sovetov 33%

What the numbers say

Points. 16 points from 18.6 xPTS (−2.6). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 9th in the league, but 11th in the table. Source of the shortfall: extra goals conceded (+6.1 vs xGA).

Attack. 1.26 xG per match — 9th of 16 (league average 1.24): an average attack for this league. Scored 17 goals from 17.6 xG — finishing is on par. What they create is what they score.

Defence. 1.42 xGA per match — 13th of 16 for solidity (league average 1.24): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 26 goals from 19.9 xGA — 31% more than expected. Opponents are finishing better than the quality of their chances allows.

Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.18 points per match: expected pace 1.3 points per match vs the current 1.1.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

0919 1 14 round 1: 2:1, Points 3, xPTS 1.2round 2: 2:1, Points 6, xPTS 2.6round 3: 1:3, Points 6, xPTS 3.9round 4: 4:1, Points 9, xPTS 5.9round 5: 0:1, Points 9, xPTS 7.6round 6: 1:3, Points 9, xPTS 9.5round 7: 2:0, Points 12, xPTS 12.1round 8: 2:3, Points 12, xPTS 13.0round 9: 1:3, Points 12, xPTS 14.0round 10: 0:4, Points 12, xPTS 14.2round 11: 1:1, Points 13, xPTS 16.2round 12: 0:2, Points 13, xPTS 16.3round 13: 0:3, Points 13, xPTS 17.9round 14: 1:0, Points 16, xPTS 18.6
Points 16 xPTS 18.6 performance is 2.6 ahead of points

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.14 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.36. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 6.8 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

OpponentVenueDateWinDrawDefeatExpected points
Spartak Moscowhome2026-11-2220%22%58%0.82
Lokomotiv Moscowaway2026-11-2941%23%36%1.46
Krylia Sovetovhome2026-12-0533%26%40%1.26
Orenburghome2027-02-2736%26%38%1.33
Fakel Voronezhhome2027-03-0657%25%19%1.95

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Dynamo Makhachkala and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Fakel Voronezh 2:1 · awayLokomotiv Moscow 2:1 Dynamo Moscow 1:3 · awayKrylia Sovetov 4:1 · awayKrasnodar 0:1 Rubin Kazan 1:3 · awayRodina Moscow 2:0 Akhmat Grozny 2:3 · awayCSKA Moscow 1:3 Orenburg 0:4 · awayAkron Tolyatti 1:1 Zenit 0:2 · awayRostov 0:3 Baltika Kaliningrad 1:0 · awaySpartak Moscow · 11.22Lokomotiv Moscow · 11.29Krylia Sovetov · 12.05Orenburg · 02.27Fakel Voronezh · 03.06

Club players

MiroGamid AgalarovNikita GlushkovDaniil LesovoyHoussem Eddine Mrezigue

Around them in the table

PlaceClubPPointsxPTSΔ
9Baltika Kaliningrad141723.1−6.1
10Orenburg141720.3−3.3
11Dynamo Makhachkala141618.6−2.6
12Akhmat Grozny141418.1−4.1
13Rodina Moscow141212.3−0.3

Full RPL xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league

ZenitDynamo MoscowSpartak MoscowKrasnodarCSKA MoscowRostovKrylia SovetovRubin KazanBaltika KaliningradOrenburgAkhmat GroznyRodina MoscowAkron TolyattiLokomotiv MoscowFakel Voronezh