Atalanta — Cagliari 1:2

Atalanta

1:2

Cagliari

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Atalanta created more (1.48 xG against 1.31) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Atalanta	1	1.48	−0.5	1.49
Cagliari	2	1.31	+0.7	1.26

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
18'	Paul Mendy	Cagliari	0.44	Ndary Adopo
40'	Gianluca Scamacca	Atalanta	0.08	Charles De Ketelaere
60'	Daniel Maldini (penalty)	Cagliari	0.76

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
82'	Franck Kessié	Atalanta	0.49	saved
18'	Paul Mendy	Cagliari	0.44	goal
75'	Lazar Samardzic	Atalanta	0.15	off target

Shots: Atalanta 22, Cagliari 5; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Atalanta 0.35, Cagliari 0.48: about even. In the second half xG was Atalanta 1.15, Cagliari 0.83: a small edge for Atalanta.

How it fits the season

Atalanta: +1.2 for the season (12 in the table). Cagliari: +5.0 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Genoa — Frosinone 1:1Lazio — AC Milan 2:2

All Serie A matches with xG →