Atalanta

Next match

Inter · at home, 22 Nov 2026
Win 14% · draw 15% · defeat 70%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A tough run.

What the numbers say

Points. 14 points from 12.8 xPTS (+1.2). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 13th in the league, but 12th in the table. Points match the quality of play. Inside that balance finishing falls short (−1.3 vs xG), but fewer goals conceded than expected (−1.1 vs xGA) — one cancels the other.

Attack. 1.67 xG per match — 9th of 20 (league average 1.70): an average attack for this league. Scored 17 goals from 18.3 xG — 7% fewer than expected. A small finishing shortfall, still within the usual spread.

Defence. 1.92 xGA per match — 13th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.70): mid-table for chances allowed. Conceded 20 goals from 21.1 xGA — exactly in line with the chances allowed. What they allow is what they concede.

Playing to its level. Points (14) are close to the quality of play (12.8 xPTS).

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.27 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.08. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.4 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Atalanta and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full Serie A xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league