Bologna — Lazio 0:1

Bologna

0:1

Lazio

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Lazio won against the run of chances: Bologna created more (2.06 xG against 0.81).

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Bologna	0	2.06	−2.1	2.19
Lazio	1	0.81	+0.2	0.61

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
58'	Davide Frattesi	Lazio	0.40	Boulaye Dia

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
76'	Jonathan Rowe	Bologna	0.49	saved, from a corner
47'	Jens Odgaard	Bologna	0.45	saved, header, from a corner
95'	Lewis Ferguson	Bologna	0.42	blocked

Shots: Bologna 14, Lazio 10; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Bologna 0.22, Lazio 0.13: about even. In the second half xG was Bologna 1.90, Lazio 0.67: a clear edge for Bologna. Bologna scored 0 from 2.06 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Bologna: −2.1 for the season (8 in the table). Lazio: +11.0 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Roma — Fiorentina 4:0

All Serie A matches with xG →