The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Roma was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roma | 4 | 3.78 | +0.2 | 2.89 |
| Fiorentina | 0 | 0.29 | −0.3 | 0.07 |
Roma: +0.6 for the season (1 in the table). Fiorentina: −2.3 (17). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.