Roma
FiorentinaThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Roma was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3.78 | +0.2 | 2.89 | |
| 0 | 0.29 | −0.3 | 0.07 |
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26' | Donyell Malen | 0.59 | Paulo Dybala | |
| 51' | Donyell Malen | 0.09 | Paulo Dybala | |
| 59' | Donyell Malen | 0.83 | Paulo Dybala | |
| 85' | Niccolò Pisilli | 0.65 |
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59' | Donyell Malen | 0.83 | goal | |
| 85' | Niccolò Pisilli | 0.65 | goal | |
| 26' | Donyell Malen | 0.59 | goal |
Shots: Roma 17, Fiorentina 9; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 5 and 0.
In the first half xG was Roma 1.46, Fiorentina 0.04: a clear edge for Roma. In the second half xG was Roma 2.30, Fiorentina 0.27: a big edge for Roma. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.
Roma: +3.4 for the season (3 in the table). Fiorentina: −5.4 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.