Cagliari — Inter 0:1

Cagliari

0:1

Inter

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Inter was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Cagliari	0	0.32	−0.3	0.07
Inter	1	3.97	−3.0	2.90

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
8'	Hakan Calhanoglu	Inter	0.03	Nicolò Barella

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
52'	Francesco Pio Esposito	Inter	0.59	saved
27'	Federico Dimarco	Inter	0.30	saved
43'	Federico Dimarco	Inter	0.30	off target

Shots: Cagliari 10, Inter 31; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Cagliari 0.00, Inter 1.84: a big edge for Inter. In the second half xG was Cagliari 0.32, Inter 2.14: a big edge for Inter. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Inter scored 1 from 3.97 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Cagliari: +5.0 for the season (9 in the table). Inter: +2.0 (2). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Napoli — Como 1:2Lazio — Genoa 1:0

All Serie A matches with xG →