Genoa — Como 1:4

Genoa

1:4

Como

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Como was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Genoa	1	0.92	+0.1	0.70
Como	4	2.01	+2.0	2.09

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
18'	Milutin Osmajic	Genoa	0.43	Lorenzo Colombo
24'	Martin Baturina	Como	0.03	Álex Valle
29'	Assane Diao	Como	0.07
39'	Nico Paz	Como	0.31	Yan Couto
77'	Assane Diao	Como	0.31	Moise Kean

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
64'	Tasos Douvikas	Como	0.49	off target, header
18'	Milutin Osmajic	Genoa	0.43	goal
39'	Nico Paz	Como	0.31	goal

Shots: Genoa 11, Como 20; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Genoa 0.57, Como 0.96: a small edge for Como. In the second half xG was Genoa 0.34, Como 1.07: a small edge for Como. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Como scored 4 from 2.01 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Genoa: +0.7 for the season (13 in the table). Como: +3.2 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

All Serie A matches with xG →