Genoa

Serie A · Italy · season 2026/27 · 11 matches · 4W 1D 6L

Place13 of 20

Points13

xPTS12.3

Δ points − xPTS+0.7

Scored / xG11 / 11.6

Conceded / xGA16 / 15.1

Next match

Sassuolo

Genoa

Sassuolo · away, 22 Nov 2026
Win 38% · draw 27% · defeat 36%

The match in numbers →

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A tough run.

Sassuolo 38%

Inter 7%

Torino 35%

What the numbers say

Points. 13 points from 12.3 xPTS (+0.7). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 14th in the league, but 13th in the table. Points match the quality of play. Both finishing and defending track the chances exactly.

Attack. 1.05 xG per match — 19th of 20 (league average 1.70): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 11 goals from 11.6 xG — finishing is on par. What they create is what they score.

Defence. 1.37 xGA per match — 5th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.70): allows few chances near its own goal. Conceded 16 goals from 15.1 xGA — exactly in line with the chances allowed. What they allow is what they concede.

Playing to its level. Points (13) are close to the quality of play (12.3 xPTS).

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Points 13 xPTS 12.3 points are 0.7 ahead of performance

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.18 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.23. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 6.1 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Opponent	Venue	Date	Win	Draw	Defeat	Expected points
Sassuolo	away	2026-11-22	38%	27%	36%	1.39
Inter	away	2026-11-28	7%	14%	79%	0.35
Torino	home	2026-12-06	35%	33%	32%	1.39
Atalanta	away	2026-12-13	27%	26%	48%	1.06
Udinese	home	2026-12-20	57%	24%	19%	1.94