Monza — Sassuolo 2:1

Monza

2:1

Sassuolo

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Sassuolo created more (2.27 xG against 1.61) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Monza	2	1.61	+0.4	1.02
Sassuolo	1	2.27	−1.3	1.78

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
50'	Gustavo Varela	Monza	0.06	Samuele Birindelli
62'	Gustavo Varela (penalty)	Monza	0.76
87'	Vasilije Adzic	Sassuolo	0.12

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
33'	Kristian Thorstvedt	Sassuolo	0.39	saved
14'	Domenico Berardi	Sassuolo	0.32	saved
27'	Darryl Bakola	Sassuolo	0.31	saved

Shots: Monza 15, Sassuolo 20; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 4.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Monza 0.55, Sassuolo 1.37: a clear edge for Sassuolo. In the second half xG was Monza 1.07, Sassuolo 0.94: about even. Sassuolo scored 1 from 2.27 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Monza: −6.2 for the season (18 in the table). Sassuolo: −2.1 (17). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

All Serie A matches with xG →