Sassuolo

Next match

Genoa · at home, 22 Nov 2026
Win 36% · draw 27% · defeat 38%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A tough run.

What the numbers say

Points. 8 points from 10.1 xPTS (−2.1). By quality of play (xPTS) the club sits exactly where it is in the table: 17th. Source of the shortfall: extra goals conceded (+3.4 vs xGA).

Attack. 1.37 xG per match — 15th of 20 (league average 1.70): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 16 goals from 15.1 xG — finishing is on par. What they create is what they score.

Defence. 2.33 xGA per match — 19th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.70): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 29 goals from 25.6 xGA — 13% more than expected. The gap is small and usually closes over a season.

Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.19 points per match: expected pace 0.9 points per match vs the current 0.7.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 0.73 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.17. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.8 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Sassuolo and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full Serie A xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league