Napoli — Bologna 1:0

Napoli

1:0

Bologna

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Napoli was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Napoli	1	2.25	−1.2	2.69
Bologna	0	0.17	−0.2	0.19

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
65'	Stanislav Lobotka	Napoli	0.35	Costantino Favasuli

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
2'	Antonio Vergara	Napoli	0.60	off target
69'	Rasmus Højlund	Napoli	0.37	saved
17'	Rasmus Højlund	Napoli	0.36	off target, header

Shots: Napoli 15, Bologna 5; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Napoli 1.10, Bologna 0.04: a clear edge for Napoli. In the second half xG was Napoli 1.15, Bologna 0.12: a clear edge for Napoli. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Napoli scored 1 from 2.25 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Napoli: −7.2 for the season (10 in the table). Bologna: −2.1 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Lecce — Monza 3:2Sassuolo — Juventus 3:2

All Serie A matches with xG →