Napoli

Next match

Torino · at home, 21 Nov 2026
Win 65% · draw 21% · defeat 14%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A kind run.

What the numbers say

Points. 15 points from 22.2 xPTS (−7.2) — the biggest underperformance in the league. By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 3rd in the league, but 10th in the table. Source of the shortfall: missed chances (−5.3 goals vs xG) and extra goals conceded (+1.5 vs xGA).

Attack. 2.11 xG per match — 3rd of 20 (league average 1.70): one of the most dangerous attacks in the league. Scored 18 goals from 23.3 xG — 23% fewer than expected. Finishing is clearly below par — the chances are the same, so the goals will probably follow.

Defence. 1.14 xGA per match — 2nd of 20 for solidity (league average 1.70): allows few chances near its own goal. Conceded 14 goals from 12.5 xGA — 12% more than expected. The gap is small and usually closes over a season.

Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.65 points per match: expected pace 2.0 points per match vs the current 1.4.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.36 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 2.17. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 10.9 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Napoli and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full Serie A xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league