Lecce — Monza 3:2

Lecce

3:2

Monza

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Lecce won against the run of chances: Monza created more (3.09 xG against 1.95).

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Lecce	3	1.95	+1.1	0.85
Monza	2	3.09	−1.1	1.99

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
2'	Lassana Coulibaly	Lecce	0.18	Ivan Ilic
10'	Tiago Gabriel	Lecce	0.40	Ivan Ilic
19'	Ricardo Mangas	Monza	0.68	Samuele Birindelli
20'	Lassana Coulibaly	Lecce	0.57	Danilo Veiga
88'	Exequiel Zeballos	Monza	0.05

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
19'	Ricardo Mangas	Monza	0.68	goal
20'	Lassana Coulibaly	Lecce	0.60	off target
8'	Lorenzo Lucchesi	Monza	0.46	saved, from a corner

Shots: Lecce 7, Monza 19; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 6.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Lecce 1.75, Monza 2.96: a clear edge for Monza. In the second half xG was Lecce 0.19, Monza 0.29: about even. Lecce scored 3 from 1.95 xG: more than they created. Monza scored 2 from 3.09 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Lecce: +1.1 for the season (14 in the table). Monza: −6.2 (18). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Napoli — Bologna 1:0Sassuolo — Juventus 3:2

All Serie A matches with xG →