The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Atlético Madrid | Alavés | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 6 |
| Points | 16 | 11 |
| xPTS | 12.8 | 11.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.2 | −0.5 |
| xG per match | 1.96 | 1.52 |
| xGA per match | 1.21 | 1.09 |
| Scored | 16 | 11 |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 |
By quality of play Atlético Madrid is ahead: 12.8 xPTS against 11.5. In the table the gap is 5 points. The gap between points and play — Atlético Madrid: +3.2, Alavés: −0.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Atlético Madrid — 7.9, Alavés — 7.5.