The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Atlético Madrid | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 4 |
| Points | 16 | 15 |
| xPTS | 12.8 | 16.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.2 | −1.5 |
| xG per match | 1.96 | 2.81 |
| xGA per match | 1.21 | 1.11 |
| Scored | 16 | 18 |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 |
By quality of play Real Madrid is ahead: 16.5 xPTS against 12.8. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Atlético Madrid: +3.2, Real Madrid: −1.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Atlético Madrid — 7.9, Real Madrid — 10.6.