The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Atlético Madrid | Sevilla | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 5 |
| Points | 16 | 13 |
| xPTS | 12.8 | 8.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.2 | +4.7 |
| xG per match | 1.96 | 1.06 |
| xGA per match | 1.21 | 1.5 |
| Scored | 16 | 10 |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 |
By quality of play Atlético Madrid is ahead: 12.8 xPTS against 8.3. In the table the gap is 3 points. The gap between points and play — Atlético Madrid: +3.2, Sevilla: +4.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Atlético Madrid — 7.9, Sevilla — 5.3.