The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Celta Vigo | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 9 | 10 |
| Points | 8 | 8 |
| xPTS | 9.7 | 12.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.7 | −4.2 |
| xG per match | 1 | 1.88 |
| xGA per match | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Scored | 8 | 7 |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 |
By quality of play Athletic Club is ahead: 12.2 xPTS against 9.7. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Celta Vigo: −1.7, Athletic Club: −4.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Celta Vigo — 5.9, Athletic Club — 10.6.