The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Valencia | Málaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 19 | 20 |
| Points | 4 | 3 |
| xPTS | 5.8 | 5.4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.9 | −2.4 |
| xG per match | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| xGA per match | 1.81 | 2 |
| Scored | 4 | 3 |
| Conceded | 13 | 12 |
By quality of play they are level: 5.8 xPTS against 5.4. The gap between points and play — Valencia: −1.9, Málaga: −2.4.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Valencia — 3.1, Málaga — 4.0.