The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Augsburg was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augsburg | 3 | 5.54 | −2.5 | 2.69 |
| Schalke 04 | 0 | 1.84 | −1.8 | 0.25 |
Augsburg: +2.4 for the season (4 in the table). Schalke 04: +0.7 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.