Augsburg

Next match

Mainz 05 · at home, 22 Nov 2026
Win 39% · draw 19% · defeat 42%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.

What the numbers say

Points. 9 points from 10.9 xPTS (−1.9). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 12th in the league, but 14th in the table. Points match the quality of play. On top of that, finishing runs above expectation (+0.7 vs xG) and fewer goals conceded than expected (−1.1 vs xGA).

Attack. 2.15 xG per match — 3rd of 18 (league average 1.85): one of the most dangerous attacks in the league. Scored 20 goals from 19.4 xG — finishing is on par. 3rd in the league for goals per match.

Defence. 2.35 xGA per match — 15th of 18 for solidity (league average 1.85): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 20 goals from 21.1 xGA — exactly in line with the chances allowed. What they allow is what they concede.

Playing to its level. Points (9) are close to the quality of play (10.9 xPTS).

9 matches played. Over this distance the metrics already show a trend, but randomness is still large — treat this as an early signal, not a verdict.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.00 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.27. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 6.3 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Augsburg and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full Bundesliga xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league