The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Freiburg was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg | 4 | 2.39 | +1.6 | 2.25 |
| Werder Bremen | 1 | 0.95 | +0.1 | 0.57 |
Freiburg: +1.2 for the season (3 in the table). Werder Bremen: +2.4 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.