Elversberg — Bayern Munich 1:2
Elversberg
Bayern MunichThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Who deserved it
The score matched the game: Bayern Munich was the better side by chances too.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg | 1 | 1.03 | −0.0 | 0.41 |
| Bayern Munich | 2 | 3.06 | −1.1 | 2.46 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25' | Lennart Karl | Bayern Munich | 0.44 | Harry Kane |
| 60' | Maurice Krattenmacher | Elversberg | 0.05 | Noah Darvich |
| 71' | Harry Kane | Bayern Munich | 0.09 | Aleksandar Pavlovic |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66' | Luis Díaz | Bayern Munich | 0.53 | saved |
| 25' | Lennart Karl | Bayern Munich | 0.44 | goal |
| 73' | Noel Futkeu | Elversberg | 0.44 | off target |
Shots: Elversberg 5, Bayern Munich 28; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 3.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Elversberg 0.54, Bayern Munich 1.27: a small edge for Bayern Munich. In the second half xG was Elversberg 0.49, Bayern Munich 1.78: a clear edge for Bayern Munich. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Bayern Munich scored 2 from 3.06 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
How it fits the season
Elversberg: +5.7 for the season (7 in the table). Bayern Munich: −3.8 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.
RB Leipzig — 
Hamburger SV 5:0