The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Bayern Munich was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg | 1 | 1.03 | −0.0 | 0.41 |
| Bayern Munich | 2 | 3.06 | −1.1 | 2.46 |
Elversberg: +3.6 for the season (7 in the table). Bayern Munich: −1.0 (2). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.