RB Leipzig — Hamburger SV 5:0

RB Leipzig

5:0

Hamburger SV

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: RB Leipzig was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
RB Leipzig	5	2.47	+2.5	2.55
Hamburger SV	0	0.51	−0.5	0.31

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
16'	Tidiam Gomis	RB Leipzig	0.07	Ezechiel Banzuzi
27'	Antonio Nusa	RB Leipzig	0.07
71'	Willi Orban	RB Leipzig	0.67	Antonio Nusa
73'	Christopher Nkunku	RB Leipzig	0.44	Antonio Nusa
76'	Rômulo	RB Leipzig	0.46

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
71'	Willi Orban	RB Leipzig	0.67	goal, from a set piece
76'	Rômulo	RB Leipzig	0.46	goal
73'	Christopher Nkunku	RB Leipzig	0.44	goal

Shots: RB Leipzig 19, Hamburger SV 10; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was RB Leipzig 0.37, Hamburger SV 0.15: about even. In the second half xG was RB Leipzig 2.11, Hamburger SV 0.37: a big edge for RB Leipzig. RB Leipzig scored 5 from 2.47 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

RB Leipzig: +0.6 for the season (4 in the table). Hamburger SV: +3.9 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Elversberg — Bayern Munich 1:2

All Bundesliga matches with xG →