The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: RB Leipzig was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 5 | 2.47 | +2.5 | 2.55 |
| Hamburger SV | 0 | 0.51 | −0.5 | 0.31 |
RB Leipzig: −1.8 for the season (9 in the table). Hamburger SV: +0.2 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.