The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Liverpool was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 0 | 0.94 | −0.9 | 1.10 |
| Liverpool | 1 | 1.29 | −0.3 | 1.62 |
Bournemouth: −4.8 for the season (17 in the table). Liverpool: +1.1 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.