Fulham — Manchester United 1:1

Fulham

1:1

Manchester United

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.40.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Fulham	1	1.72	−0.7	1.16
Manchester United	1	2.12	−1.1	1.63

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
62'	Lisandro Martínez (own goal)	Fulham	—
88'	Matheus Cunha	Manchester United	0.02	Patrick Dorgu

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
24'	Bruno Fernandes	Manchester United	0.50	hit the woodwork
43'	Marcus Rashford	Manchester United	0.47	off target
17'	Gonzalo García	Fulham	0.39	off target

Shots: Fulham 12, Manchester United 29; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Fulham 1.52, Manchester United 1.73: about even. In the second half xG was Fulham 0.18, Manchester United 0.46: about even. Manchester United scored 1 from 2.12 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Fulham: −3.9 for the season (15 in the table). Manchester United: −4.5 (18). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Manchester City — Sunderland 5:3Leeds United — Crystal Palace 0:0Bournemouth — Liverpool 0:1

All EPL matches with xG →