The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Sunderland created more (3.11 xG against 2.67) and left with nothing.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 5 | 2.67 | +2.3 | 1.21 |
| Sunderland | 3 | 3.11 | −0.1 | 1.62 |
Manchester City: +5.4 for the season (1 in the table). Sunderland: −3.7 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.