Manchester City — Sunderland 5:3

Manchester City

5:3

Sunderland

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Sunderland created more (3.11 xG against 2.67) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Manchester City	5	2.67	+2.3	1.21
Sunderland	3	3.11	−0.1	1.63

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
8'	Enzo Fernández	Manchester City	0.06
11'	Brian Brobbey	Sunderland	0.47	Enzo Le Fée
28'	Mathis Cherki	Manchester City	0.11	Antoine Semenyo
32'	Brian Brobbey	Sunderland	0.52	Thomas Meunier
42'	Antoine Semenyo	Manchester City	0.07	Marc Guehi
56'	Antoine Semenyo	Manchester City	0.07
58'	Brian Brobbey	Sunderland	0.93	Nilson Angulo
80'	Erling Haaland	Manchester City	0.75	Josko Gvardiol

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
58'	Brian Brobbey	Sunderland	0.93	goal
80'	Erling Haaland	Manchester City	0.75	goal
85'	Nico O'Reilly	Manchester City	0.55	saved

Shots: Manchester City 16, Sunderland 17; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 4.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Manchester City 0.87, Sunderland 1.34: a small edge for Sunderland. In the second half xG was Manchester City 1.82, Sunderland 2.05: about even. Manchester City scored 5 from 2.67 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Manchester City: +0.1 for the season (3 in the table). Sunderland: −6.2 (19). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Leeds United — Crystal Palace 0:0Bournemouth — Liverpool 0:1Fulham — Manchester United 1:1

All EPL matches with xG →