Chelsea — Tottenham Hotspur 0:2

Chelsea

0:2

Tottenham Hotspur

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Tottenham Hotspur was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Chelsea	0	0.46	−0.5	0.86
Tottenham Hotspur	2	0.98	+1.0	1.78

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
76'	Mike Penders (own goal)	Tottenham Hotspur	—
86'	Mathys Tel	Tottenham Hotspur	0.03

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
28'	Omar Marmoush	Tottenham Hotspur	0.39	saved
32'	Morgan Rogers	Chelsea	0.12	blocked
54'	Mathys Tel	Tottenham Hotspur	0.11	blocked, header, from a corner

Shots: Chelsea 7, Tottenham Hotspur 15; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Chelsea 0.25, Tottenham Hotspur 0.59: a small edge for Tottenham Hotspur. In the second half xG was Chelsea 0.21, Tottenham Hotspur 0.39: about even. Tottenham Hotspur scored 2 from 0.98 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Chelsea: +3.2 for the season (5 in the table). Tottenham Hotspur: −2.3 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Aston Villa — Manchester City 2:1Coventry City — Fulham 0:1Arsenal — Everton 2:0

All EPL matches with xG →