The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
No clear favourite: 36% home, 25% draw, 39% away. Attack against defence: level, 1.54 and 1.66 expected goals a match. Fulham are 3.1 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | 18 | 5 | 3 | 4.5 | −1.6 | 1.00 | 1.72 |
| Fulham | 19 | 5 | 2 | 5.1 | −3.1 | 1.59 | 2.09 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.