The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Brighton was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | 0 | 1.05 | −1.1 | 0.50 |
| Brighton | 5 | 2.77 | +2.2 | 2.35 |
Coventry City: −1.6 for the season (18 in the table). Brighton: +0.8 (3). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.