Coventry City — Brighton 0:5

Coventry City

0:5

Brighton

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Brighton was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Coventry City	0	1.05	−1.1	0.50
Brighton	5	2.77	+2.2	2.35

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
34'	Charalampos Kostoulas	Brighton	0.35	Pascal Groß
50'	Malick Yalcouyé	Brighton	0.27	Maxim De Cuyper
69'	Pascal Groß (penalty)	Brighton	0.76
82'	Lewis Dunk	Brighton	0.02	Chema Andres
93'	Yasin Ayari	Brighton	0.07	Pascal Groß

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
34'	Charalampos Kostoulas	Brighton	0.35	goal
26'	Jack Rudoni	Coventry City	0.33	saved
16'	Charalampos Kostoulas	Brighton	0.32	off target

Shots: Coventry City 14, Brighton 22; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Coventry City 0.94, Brighton 1.30: a small edge for Brighton. In the second half xG was Coventry City 0.13, Brighton 1.51: a clear edge for Brighton. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Coventry City scored 0 from 1.05 xG: fewer than they created. Brighton scored 5 from 2.77 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Coventry City: −0.8 for the season (17 in the table). Brighton: +3.8 (2). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Manchester United — Manchester City 0:1

All EPL matches with xG →