The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Manchester City was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 0 | 0.94 | −0.9 | 1.20 |
| Manchester City | 1 | 1.14 | −0.1 | 1.50 |
Manchester United: −3.4 for the season (12 in the table). Manchester City: +5.4 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.