The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Coventry City created more (1.18 xG against 0.46) and left with nothing.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | 0 | 1.18 | −1.2 | 1.94 |
| Hull City | 1 | 0.46 | +0.5 | 0.75 |
Coventry City: −1.6 for the season (18 in the table). Hull City: +2.5 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.