The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Tottenham Hotspur created more (1.12 xG against 1.01) and left with nothing.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur | 0 | 1.12 | −1.1 | 1.44 |
| Newcastle United | 2 | 1.01 | +1.0 | 1.27 |
Tottenham Hotspur: −3.5 for the season (20 in the table). Newcastle United: +3.7 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.