The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Bournemouth created more (2.26 xG against 1.66) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 1 | 2.26 | −1.3 | 1.74 |
| Everton | 1 | 1.66 | −0.7 | 1.06 |
Bournemouth: −4.8 for the season (17 in the table). Everton: +1.4 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.