Hull City — Brentford 1:1

Hull City

1:1

Brentford

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.23.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Hull City	1	1.94	−0.9	1.53
Brentford	1	1.71	−0.7	1.25

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
23'	Oliver McBurnie (penalty)	Hull City	0.76
62'	Dango Ouattara	Brentford	0.94	Thiago

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
62'	Dango Ouattara	Brentford	0.94	goal
88'	Joe Gelhardt	Hull City	0.58	off target
74'	Dango Ouattara	Brentford	0.16	saved, header, from a corner

Shots: Hull City 12, Brentford 14; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Hull City 0.90, Brentford 0.31: a small edge for Hull City. In the second half xG was Hull City 1.04, Brentford 1.42: a small edge for Brentford. The edge in chances passed from Hull City to Brentford.

How it fits the season

Hull City: +2.0 for the season (13 in the table). Brentford: +0.9 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Liverpool — Brighton 2:0Manchester United — Bournemouth 0:3Crystal Palace — Newcastle United 0:2Sunderland — Leeds United 0:0

All EPL matches with xG →